Democrats are facing declining voter registration numbers across multiple states, but new data from North Carolina shows one of the most dramatic shifts yet in a longtime political battleground.
According to the latest figures from the North Carolina State Board of Elections, the gap between registered Democrats and Republicans in the state has narrowed to just over 1,000 voters.
A decade ago, Democrats held an advantage of nearly 750,000 registered voters over Republicans.
🚨 BREAKING: In a stunning shift, North Carolina is on the verge of flipping RED in total voter registration
The last week’s GOP gains have been CRAZY!
Over the week: R+1,238
Overall lead: D+1,884
Active voter lead: R+109,339TIME TO FLIP NC and make it OUT OF REACH for… pic.twitter.com/kx1yjwfH2v
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) December 6, 2025
Representative Richard Hudson, R-N.C., said the change reflects voter dissatisfaction with Democratic leadership and growing support for Republicans across the state.
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“Voters across North Carolina are rejecting the Democrats’ failed agenda and choosing Republican leadership,” Hudson said.
“This shift didn’t happen overnight, it’s the result of years of good common sense Republican governance and our focus on offering serious solutions on the issues that matter to the people.”
State-level data shows that between 2005 and 2015, the difference in registered Democrats and Republicans in North Carolina remained relatively stable, with Democrats maintaining an advantage of roughly 670,000 voters during that period.
That margin began shrinking in 2015 and continued to narrow over the following years.
By 2020, Democrats still held a lead of just under 380,000 registered voters.
As of the most recent update from the State Board of Elections, that lead has dropped to only 1,216 voters.
The changes in North Carolina mirror a broader national trend.
Earlier this year, a New York Times analysis found that Democrats lost approximately 2.1 million registered voters between 2020 and 2024 across 30 states that track voter registration by party.
During the same period, Republicans gained about 2.4 million registered voters.
Combined, the data reflects a net swing of roughly 4.5 million voters away from the Democratic Party over four years.
Former Republican National Committee chairman and North Carolina Republican Senate candidate Michael Whatley said Democratic policies at both the state and federal levels are contributing to the decline.
“The reality is that bad Democrat policies coming out of Washington are driving voters away from the party here at home,” Whatley said.
He also criticized state and national Democratic leaders, citing their electoral performance in North Carolina.
“Insane policies supported by Roy Cooper and pushed by DC Democrats like Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris are completely out of step with North Carolinians,” Whatley said.
“Democrats couldn’t win Senate races here even when they had a cash advantage and a huge voter-registration edge.
Now they’ve lost that registration advantage too, and voters are making it clear they’re done with failed Democrat leadership.”
Democrats have responded by pointing to changes in voter affiliation trends.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee said the Republican share of registered voters statewide has declined, while the number of unaffiliated voters has increased.
However, voter registration data shows the rise in unaffiliated voters has affected both parties, with Democrats experiencing a significantly larger decline in total registered voters over the last decade compared to Republicans.
Madison Andrus, the DCCC’s regional spokesperson for North Carolina, attributed the changes to Republican actions in the state.
“Despite their repeated attempts at gerrymandering the state to subvert the will of the voters, Republicans have not managed to increase their share of registered voters in nearly four decades,” Andrus told Fox News Digital.
She also argued that Republican policies are contributing to voter dissatisfaction.
“Now, with this latest scheme top of mind, voters across the state are souring on Republicans’ failing agenda that has led to higher grocery prices, more expensive health care, and greater difficulty making ends meet,” Andrus said.
“Republicans have abandoned North Carolina’s working families and people are taking notice.”
Republican National Committee Chairman Joe Gruters disputed that assessment, saying the data shows a fundamental shift in voter behavior.
“North Carolina is undergoing a historic shift,” Gruters said.
“Democrats’ advantage has crumbled.”
Gruters also referenced recent election results as evidence of broader voter sentiment.
“Voters rejected Kamala Harris last year, and they’re continuing that trend as they turn away from the failed policies of Roy Cooper and Josh Stein,” he said.
With registration numbers nearly even for the first time in decades, North Carolina’s changing voter rolls are drawing national attention as both parties prepare for upcoming statewide and federal elections.
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