
CNN data analyst Harry Enten said recent polling suggests Democrats are in a weaker position on immigration and border security than they were during President Donald Trump’s first term, despite high-profile events over the past year.
During a segment with anchor John Berman, Enten pointed to survey data indicating that Republicans now hold the advantage on immigration-related issues.
“This, I think, is so important to note, after all the events in Los Angeles, after all the events in Minneapolis, after all the events of the last year on immigration, can Democrats actually take advantage on this issue?” Enten said.
“And a look at the polling suggests Actually no. They’re in a worse position, in a worse position than they were at this point during Donald Trump’s first term.”
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Enten referenced comparative polling from 2018 and the current political landscape.
“Take a look here, trust which party more on immigration? In 2018 Democrats had an edge of about six points,” Enten said.
“You come over to this side of the screen. Now look at that. Republicans are the ones who have actually have an edge on immigration.”
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He added that the broader narrative about Democrats benefiting from immigration debates does not match the data.
“So this whole idea that Democrats are going to be able to take advantage of the immigration group, of the immigration issue actually doesn’t bear itself out in the polling, despite everything that’s been going on, in fact, Democrats are in worse position than they were during Donald Trump’s first term,” Enten said.
Berman summarized the dynamic between voter dissatisfaction and party preference.
“Yeah, maybe they don’t like what Donald Trump, the president, is doing, but they don’t think Democrats will do a better job,” Berman said.
“Correct,” Enten responded. “They think Democrats will do a worse job on immigration than Republicans.”
The conversation then shifted to border security specifically.
“All right. What about border security in general?” Berman asked.
“Okay, border security in general. So this is immigration at large. What about border security? Look at this. Look at these numbers. Hello,” Enten said.
“Party trusted more on border security, again, at this point Trump’s terms. Look at this. In 2018 Republicans had a 13 point advantage. If anything, the advantage is a little bit larger. Now, Republicans up by 15 points.”
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