A sluggish area of energy developing in the West could potentially deliver the first significant rainfall to the Southern and Central Plains, along with risks of severe thunderstorms that could produce strong winds, flash flooding and hail.
Into the Central Plains, showers and thunderstorms will spread Wednesday night through Thursday, triggering the FOX Forecast Center to issue a level 1/5 threat for severe weather across Texas and Oklahoma. (RELATED: Possible Thanksgiving Storms Could Cause Delays As Record 81.8 Million Americans Expected To Travel)
The primary threats from these storms will be strong winds and large hail.
Along with the severe weather risk, a level 1/4 threat for flash flooding has been issued for Wednesday in portions of southern Oklahoma, central Texas and southwestern Arkansas, per the FOX Forecast Center.
SEVERE WEATHER HQ: The south and central Plains are on alert for potential severe storms and flash flooding beginning Wednesday and lasting through Friday. A level 2 out of 4 flash flood threat is in place Thursday for parts of Texas through Missouri.https://t.co/Th9CluFldR pic.twitter.com/Kt0SVg3CNj
— FOX Weather (@foxweather) November 19, 2025
The flash flood risk will shift by Thursday into Kansas and Missouri, with a level 2/4 risk encompassing cities such as Dallas, San Antonio, Wichita and Oklahoma City, along with large portions of southwestern Missouri.
A large swath from St. Louis to San Antonio can expect 2–3 inches of rain through Friday, with some spots from southern Missouri to northern Texas potentially seeing up to five inches, according to the FOX Forecast Center.
A Flood Watch has been issued for central Texas from Wednesday through Thursday, including Texas Hill Country’s Kerr County — the same area that saw dangerous flooding July 4.










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